Montys Metalworks

With the market at all time highs.....

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  • Mocity31
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2023
    • 784

    #91
    With $110/ barrel not many OPEC countries will be in a hurry to get the Strait open except the countries that are blocked, thus one reason why the UAE dropped out of OPEC a couple of days ago and why US isn't getting any help. Reserves are down. Gasoline consumption is steady. Jobs market is steady. Consumer confidence actually inched up. That won't last long.
    Eventually, high diesel prices will affect the economy. High jet fuel prices will affect travel and airlines. I don't see the government suspending gasoline taxes to bring down prices. Refining more ethanol gasoline won't help either.
    During covid gasoline consumption went down 40% and prices were down 60%. Gasoline isn't a discretionary item like a new television or new vehicle or a family vacation.
    Obviously the longer this problem lasts the more risk of economic contraction. GDP is around 2.5%. Even if the Strait is opened back up today it will still take months for Oil prices to get back to low 80's

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    • Fishinguy
      Member
      • Aug 2023
      • 142

      #92
      The fuel prices will started cooling the market pretty soon. However oil has been a little too low lately imo. I like that 80 a barrel mark to make everything run smoothly.

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      • Kenny Powers
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2023
        • 1020

        #93
        Are we having fun yet??!! Pedal to the metal baby!

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        • 98aggie77566
          98aggie77566 commented
          Editing a comment
          I’m cool with the new highs!

          We are gonna give some back at some point…but I’ll take the gains while we can.

          Individual mileage may vary….that’s for sure! It’s been a rough ride on some of my individual stocks.
      • 98aggie77566
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2023
        • 1889

        #94
        The news keeps coming in positive - jobs and such at least - the economy seems to be plugging along even with oil being high, and significant cuts in government employment, and tariffs, and and and. There hasn't been much on the tail wind side in what seems like an eternity. And yet here we are.

        If/when the Iran thing wraps up....it could be another nice boost. Or is it already priced in?

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        • Matt
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2023
          • 2948

          #95
          Sure they'll be using green and red gear to figure it out !
          You miss 💯 of the shots you don't take

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